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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA), The Behemoth

 

We have written about the Alibaba before when BABA just started its IPO.  We have stated that BABA’s potential, please see http://www.teenanalyst.com/stocks/The-biggest-IPO-Ever-Alibaba-Group.html”>Biggest IPO Ever Alibaba Group.  Now almost two years later the stock has finally returned to its all time high set around Nov, 2014.

(Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BABA?p=BABA)

Is it still right time to buy?  My recommendation would be yes.  As you can see its past earnings over the last couple years and the last quarters, BABA have increased its earnings.

 

(Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BABA?p=BABA)

 

With a profit margin of 42.61%, Quarterly revenue growth of 58.8%(yoy), and a PE of 37.85, you might think 37.85 is sort of high, but when you look at Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) has a PE of 210.26 with profit margin of 1.6% and quarterly revenue growth of 31.1%.(yoy), you see BABA is comparative more than undervalue by the US market.  There are valid reasons of course, first is that the company operates in P.R. of China, which is a pseudo capitalist system where the communist party trumps all.  Second China has been try to divest itself from a manufacturing powerhouse to a service/technology oriented economy.  Third is that most American investors just don’t understand the size of reach of Alibaba as a company.  Let me try to answer each of these three claims.  First, it is true that Alibaba operates in a communist regime, but only in name.  Communist party’s survival depends on the strength of the country’s economy. There’s an old saying in China, Government is like a boat as people are like water, water can float the boat and or sinks it.  The last thing the government want to do would be to stop progress of the economy, and Alibaba play a huge part in it.  Secondly, it’s true because rise in human labor and environmental concern, China is trying to shift its focus from manufacturing, but Alibaba is evolving as well, Alibaba has divested into other areas such as digital media & entertainment, travel, logistics, cloud computing, payment & financial services.  Its core commerce business which includes Taobao.com, Tmall.com, Alibaba.com, Lazada, and Aliexpress are benefiting from the rising of middle class in China as the country is switching from an export dependent country to a self sufficient/import economy.  The best way for all foreign brands to test their products in China would be to partner with Alibaba core commerce group.    


As you can see, Alibaba’s future is still bright, and at around $106/share as close of business Oct 5, 2016, there is still room for growth for long term investors.  As with investments, it’s very important for you to do your own homework.  More can be found in its quarterly and annual financial report.  Happy investing!

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