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Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG Stock Analysis

 

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc (Ticker: CMG) is an American chain of fast casual food restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France.  It trades on the NYSE under ticker CMG.  

 

Facts:

Over 2000 locations

45000+ employees

Market Cap: 12.39B

 

(source:https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CMG/financials?p=CMG)

 

As most of you already known of the debacle last year of the multiple incidents of incidents where customers gotten sick eating Chipotle’s food. As you can see the recent few quarterly earnings have been nice to this once the darling of the fast casual food industry.  Chipotle was once majority owned by McDonald(Ticker: MCD) in 2001.  By 2006, McDonald fully divested from Chipotle (a mistake in a scale similar to BlockBuster could’ve owned Netflix (Ticker: NFLX or IBM owning Microsoft (Ticker: MSFT).  Since then, the company has been on a tear in the fast casual industry, the stock price followed from aroun $50/share(Jan 2006) to almost $750/share (July, 2015).  Then the food debacle happened, the stock price drop was sudden and swift.

(Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CMG?p=CMG)



Ok, enough with the past history.  Let’s look at what’s ahead for this company. Chipotle currently is implementing a mix of rewarding programs to its loyal customers and a comprehensive food safety program. I believe this company has lots of potentials, a company that has a history of increasing quarterly earnings (not including the last few quarters because of the food safety debacle) with no debt, provided they can clean up their act by creating a system to improve food safety, with time, the customers lost will return. I still eat at Chipotle whenever I could find it.  Each restaurant at different location has its own design and the beef burrito  is  still the best in my opinion.  At a price of $426 as close of business Oct 3rd, 2016, it’s at an attractive price point for long term hold.   I have recently bought long term contracts exp Jan/2018 at $440 and $450.  I will not recommend any stock to you that I don’t believe in,  I am a firm believer in put the money where my mouth is.  Again, all the above is just recommendation, you as an investor should do your own homework.  Please feel free to email me at  if you have questions.  Happy Investing!

 

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